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Rediculous losses in risk

How is it I am CONSTANTLY losing when I have a 85 to 95 percent chance of winning? I lost THREE in a row with a 90 some percent chance of victory. Not just that but for instance the game I just played. Someone attacks my 28 with his 32 and I only kill 4 of his. BUT then when I attack a 10 with my 17 I LOOSE AND THEY LOOSE 3! I like the game but damn! Do you all not no what a 95 percent chance is. That means if I flip a coin 100 times I get heads 95 times. But yet I hit the 5 percent chance of loss THREE times in a row. What ever u did recently, u broke the game.
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