SMG Studio

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Is everyone on here stupid? The probability of rolling a 6 isn't as simple as 16% EVERY time. The dynamic changes once the condition is met. So rolling a 6 twice in a row diminishes further, and on and on.

So when an opponent rolls a single 6 SEVEN times in a row, and then continues to roll 6's throughout the game in singles and doubles, it just CANNOT happen.

Not to mention, when someone battles a high number army against another, you KNOW it will be a -X+1 because there's a retarded lag. Odds are, the calculation is too much, so it crashes, thus favoring the defender, which makes no sense.

Manually roll 3 dice v 2 dice ~60 times. The odds of favor for defender is virtually impossible. So when I get an -X+1 3 out of 4 times. THAT CANNOT HAPPEN.

Those BIG -X+1 blowbacks are supposed to be an anomaly (in mathspeak, it's called an outlier, something so rare, it skews statistical data, and therefore omitted, but observed).

If it happened once in a while, that's one thing, but more often than not you'll lose everything.

Lose the stupid animation, so we can roll in 2's and 3's FAST.

Retarded animation wastes WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY too much time. At the VERY minimum, allow us to DISABLE animation -- all of it.... ALL OF IT!

All SMG knows how to do is implement features that waste time. STOP IT.

There is NOBODY I have ever encountered that likes it.

SMG created the Jar Jar Binks feature of Risk.

We need the J.J. Abrams of SMG to right the course.

To the development team that implemented all these useless, time-wasting features: #$@! YOU!

As a statistician, I can tell you that we humans are very poor at determining when a process is random and when it is not.  Here's an example that my stats professor gave me when I couldn't understand how a roulette wheel could bring up a bunch of "red" in a row.   Consider 2 scenarios.

Take a deck of cards, remove all but the face cards.  We're left with 12 cards, 4 K, 4Q, 4J.  I want to draw a K because it is a high card and will let me win.  The probability of drawing a K is 4/12 or 33%. So shuffle the deck, I draw one and it is a K.  Yea.  Now what is the probability I can draw another one.  Less than 33% right?  Sure it is 3/11 or 27 percent.  Want to draw a third K, probability is 2/10 or 20%.  Here's the point, drawing one K changes the probability of drawing a second one.  It's called conditional probability because the likelihood of drawing a K depends on what happened before.  Drawing without replacement.

Scenario 2.  Same deal, only after I draw a card, put it back into the deck and reshuffle.  So I draw a K again, likelihood 33%.  I put the K back into the deck and draw again, what is the likelihood of drawing a K?  It's the same.  Probability here is not conditional based on what happened before.   Drawing with replacement.  Dice are like this.  They have no memory. 

But we Risk players do hate it when we get a run of the same result that goes against us.  Of course we do.  I just built an Excel spreadsheet that randomly pulls H or T like a coin.  I ran it 50 times.  Run 25 was a T, Run 26 was a H followed by 7 more heads in a row.  If I'm at a roulette wheel and see Red turn up 7 times in a row, my gut tells me the next will be Black.  It's just no so.

As Frog said, show me your data.

I completely agree this request for creating an actual dice roll algorithm.  The current faulty dice wreck games when people get positively screwed and then leave the game.

The faulty dice mechanics are especially damaging to Risk games with Fixed card trade in rather than Progressive due to recovery time.